The events that took place on June 24, 2023 definitely cannot be called a revolution. Nor did they become the beginning of the civil war. Therefore, it is more likely that they should be classified as a riot, mutiny or putsch – an armed demonstration by a group of conspirators or just as the beginning of irreversible processes of the collapse of Moscow. The peculiarity of the “Wagner” putsch was that it began and ended on the same day.
Yes, the “musicians” and their leader scared the tsar no joke, expressing themselves in diplomatic language – they desacralized both him personally and the entire Kremlin “elite”. It turned out that the tsar was not real, the generals were crooks, and, ultimately, the rebels themselves were of dubious quality and reputation. However, they launched a series of processes, the final result of which will be, at a minimum, the defeat of Russia in the war.
One of the reasons for the quick collapse of the putsch can be called its artificial nature. It is about the absence of a deeper than their own ambitions, the struggle for power, influence and resources, the motivation of the organizers and executors of the turmoil. It seemed that what could be more essential and important? The answer to this question lies on the surface – the struggle for freedom! After all, only the struggle for freedom, for independence, for rights and freedoms can lead to the unfolding of a real revolution.
And who is capable of fighting for independence on the territory of the modern, sorry for the repetition, artificial entity called the “Russian Federation”? Definitely not “Wagnerians” and, even, not invented “Russians”, because they, by and large, do not exist either, as well as their “federation”: autocratic, tyrannical or liberal-democratic. In fact, there is an ugly Moscow empire. And the peoples enslaved by this empire must fight for freedom: Chechens, Dagestanis, Circassians, Erzya, Chuvash, Tatars, Bashkirs and hundreds of other so-called “small nations”. By the way, it was the Moscow Empire that made them small by destroying, deporting or assimilating thousands of nations. So, if a revolution is possible in Russia, then only a national liberation revolution, which will lead to the complete collapse of the empire and the creation of independent states on its territory.
Actually, the events of June 24 should have become a certain litmus test for the question of whether the enslaved peoples are capable of rising up in rebellion today, or yesterday? And no matter how optimistically one would like to answer that yes, one should honestly answer that not yet. Yet. Now. Not today, not yesterday. However, they will definitely be able to tomorrow! After better preparation and a more favorable development of the situation.
At the same time, it must be recognized that most of the organized associations and environments that promote the liberation of enslaved peoples took a rather pragmatic and correct position on June 24. As an example, it is worth quoting a short quote from the appeal of the Moksha National Committee: “We responsibly call on you, compatriots, not to support any of the parties to the conflict that has erupted, but to prepare yourself, as best you can, for the future development of frankly revolutionary events. Putin is a usurper. Shoigu is his henchman and bloody servant. Prigozhin is a criminal who distinguished himself in acts of genocide in Ukraine and African countries. The best thing for mokshan now is to observe and prepare. Our time will come, which means that soon Mokshaniya will gain her freedom!”
Similar statements were made by the Ingush Independence Committee, the Government of independent Tatarstan, the military from Bashkortostan, Chuvashia, and other representatives of enslaved peoples. This means that they soberly assessed the possibilities and, to a certain extent, coordinated positions and actions. This is a big plus in this situation, which can claim to be the first, small step on the way to the future fight against the common enemy.
And literally on the second day, after the failed putsch, information began to appear confirming the dynamics of the growth of the liberation struggle. The Bashkir Resistance Committee stated that more than 30 armed activists joined its ranks on June 24 alone. On the Telegram channel of the “Black Bridge” underground organization, a call to intensify preparations for the uprising was published.
The leaders of the League of Free Nations published their conclusions about the mutiny and announced their own vision of the next steps from the position of enslaved peoples. “Not only the Russian authorities were not ready for what was happening. Unfortunately, the liberation national and regionalist movements also found themselves in confusion. From the current situation, it is important to learn the right lesson for the future in order not to miss your next chance, the document says. – The task of national movements and emigrant centers is not to coordinate the revolution from abroad, but to find people on the ground who are able to act according to a very simple and realistic plan at the appropriate time. What is this plan? Turn mutiny into revolution. At the first stage of the insurrection, the main ally of the rebels is chaos and confusion, and the main tools are sabotage and sabotage actions, setting fire to the administrative building, disabling special equipment and municipal transport, blocking railways and highways, distributing propaganda materials…”
Belarus, which is actually occupied by Russia, deserves special attention in the context of the struggle of peoples enslaved by Moscow. It is worth expressing the hope that the statement of the Kalynovsky regiment regarding the approach of the liberation of the Belarusian people will begin to be implemented in the near future.
A serious problem in the context of preparation for a real revolution is the lack of weapons and combat experience. The example of “Wagner” convincingly proves that only an armed, coordinated military force is capable of reaching Moscow and destroying the empire. This is also stated in the above-mentioned document of the League of Free Nations: “It is a big mistake to bet on an armed seizure of power at the first stage, when national and regionalist movements do not have an extensive underground presence on the ground and do not have stockpiles of weapons. To prepare people for armed action, to carry out combat coordination on the territory of the Russian Federation — the task is impossible in modern conditions.” Therefore, the only way out is the active formation of national combat units within the Armed Forces of Ukraine, following the example of the same Kalynovsky regiment or the Sheikh Mansur battalion. It is these formations that are meant to become the nucleus of national liberation revolutions, when Russia falters again. And it will happen faster than you can hope, because “Zhenichka has already poured the oil”…
Paradoxically, regional “good guys” who are currently part of the armed forces of the Russian Federation can significantly strengthen the military component of national uprisings. Some experts speak cautiously about this, and analogies are suggested, for example, from the period of the First World War, when precisely the national units of the imperial troops became the basis for the armies of young states. It is worth emphasizing that this is only an assumption in the event of a real collapse of the empire, because it is difficult to predict the real actions of the same “Akhmat” or “Alga” in the event of a revolution.
One should not forget about the “domino principle”, because when the liberation uprisings begin, say, in Ichkeria, Dagestan, Tatarstan or in other, more ready-to-fight regions, then the whole “federation” will catch fire. That is, we will not be talking about 2-3 epicenters, but several dozen, about a kind of decentralization revolution, to which the central government will not be able to react even physically. Let’s recall the times of the collapse of the USSR, when the desire for independence of Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Ukraine and Georgia was supported by other republics that were not mature enough to create statehood.
And in conclusion, it is worth highlighting the role of modern Ukraine in the process of dividing Russia. The training of military units has already been mentioned, but this is not enough.
Ukraine is simply obliged to become a center of support for the enslaved peoples and an exporter of the revolution. For this, special state programs should be created and entire departments should work. After all, as long as the evil empire exists, there will be danger for Ukraine and, ultimately, the entire civilized world. And in this regard, the experience of ABN — the Anti-Bolshevik Bloc of Nations, which, in modern times, is being restored in the format of the Anti-Imperial Block of Nations — is absolutely relevant and relevant. The creation of new free states on the expanses of the Moscow empire is a guarantee of complete Ukrainian Victory!
