Russia is expected to face a collapse within the next 50 years. This would benefit not only Ukraine, the West, and national entities but also Russia itself, the head of the Centre for Countering Disinformation (CCD), Andriy Kovalenko reports.
According to him, the collapse of Russia is predictable if the Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin’s regime persists in the coming years and its aggressive policies remain unchanged.
“A controlled division of Russia into national entities with a central Muscovy in the next 50 years is an inevitable scenario for the Russian Federation,” he noted.
Kovalenko supported such a scenario because “it would benefit everyone.”
“Not only the national entities within Russia itself, which would be able to determine their policies and allies following their ethnic interests independently but also major players and Ukraine, who would divide spheres of influence,” he explained.
In his opinion, even Russia itself would benefit, as it would finally be able to reset its barbaric developmental strategy, which has existed for centuries, and join a new civilizational model.
“For Russia and Russians, this is the only chance for survival. The imperial model does not work and will lead to the destruction of everything they hold dear in future generations,” concluded the official.
The Likelihood of Russia’s collapse
Against the backdrop of Russia’s refusal to end its war against Ukraine and its preparations to continue fighting into 2025, discussions about the possible collapse of the aggressor state have resurfaced.
Talks about the potential fragmentation of Russia into smaller territories began in the early months of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
For example, back in May 2022, Mykola Volkovskyi, president of the “First International Fund for the Development of Ukraine,” mentioned territorial units within Russia that “would lose their fear of Moscow”— Ichkeria and all other stateless nations around the Caucasus and the Volga region.
Furthermore, in July of the same year, Russian opposition figures organized a forum in Prague, where they discussed the disintegration of Russia.
According to one of the scenarios, Russia could split into three zones: European, Siberian, and Far Eastern.
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