Part of the analytical community is happily practicing futurology, as with daisy petals: I believe, I don’t believe. Respect for facts and details is the key to long and lasting analysis. However, the life of an analyst is complicated, and it is impossible to be an expert in everything. This is normal, although it harms stellar progress.
Perhaps once again, I ask those who think they understand the strategic dimension of the problem with the enemy, but have minimal competence in certain areas, to rein in their horses of scepticism.
The normative vision of the future will definitely be different from what we strive for. However, leaving the status quo for the enemy means repeating aggression. Therefore, everyone who defends the status quo for the so-called Russian Federation is participating in the war on the side of the enemy. Because the idea of impunity for the occupiers is based on a conventional agreement of absolutely incompetent and false Western think tanks, which for years studied exactly what did not cause any irritation to the Kremlin, which frightened the world not with the Russian army, but with nuclear weapons. However, they failed to soberly assess either the aggression in Chechnya, Georgia, or Ukraine. The salami tactic begins to break down when you refuse to be a sausage for slicing.
If your knowledge is not turned into a weapon and does not bring results, it is not scary. However, when the song about eternal Russia is heard, you are singing along with the enemy.
Denuclearisation of Russia, de-Russification, and decolonisation are components of a single, multifaceted process that may take a considerable amount of time. However, only such a strategic approach guarantees an outcome that will allow the European continent to gain a relative break from the duel with the rest of the evil quartet.
One can, of course, believe that freezing the front or partial occupation with false guarantees can lead to real consequences. However, this is an information frenzy. Every captured territory is a springboard for an offensive.
Stanislav Fedorchuk
