Imperial overvoltage ruined Russia. Instead of constructive ideas of building a nation of general welfare or creating a strong economic power, Putin chose the most stupid scenario – he decided to follow in the footsteps of land gatherers in the 21st century. The fetish for him is the Catherine era, associated with the seizure and colonization of Ukrainian lands. However, the invasion of Ukraine turned into a massive geopolitical and military disaster.
The casualties of the occupying army exceeded 265,000 soldiers; in terms of military equipment, 4,500 tanks, 8,700 armored combat vehicles and more than 500 air defense systems were lost. An extremely huge hecatomb to put into practice Surkov’s idea of releasing steam from the Russian political reactor. Therefore, the political corpse of the former gray eminence emerges less and less with his poems, fearing that one fine day he will be physically sent to feed the fish at the bottom of the Moscow River.
The grandiose collapse of the Novorossia project is forcing sanctioned Russia, which has become the number one outcast in the world, to seek solace in the environment of such countries, but the depletion of internal resources no longer allows it to project power outside its territory. Despite the attempts of deputy Shoigu Yevkurov, on the instructions of the GRU, to consolidate the resource of Russian influence in Syria and African countries, and absorb Prigozhin’s decapitated business empire, these body movements resemble terminal convulsions. As in the years of Soviet perestroika, Moscow will face a rapid withdrawal from these regions, because soon the military and mercenaries will be needed to suppress unrest within the Russian Federation itself.
The state of weakening is well read by the closest Russian neighbors. The Prime Minister of the former unconditional satellite of the Kremlin, Armenia, Pashinyan, loudly declares: “relying on Russia and dependence on it was a strategic mistake.” In Yerevan, the hair is being torn out because of the insight into the Russian betrayal, which is associated with the transition to the side of Azerbaijan, and, accordingly, leads to the complete elimination of the “Artsakh” separatist project. Armenia not only does not rely on the Kremlin’s military assistance, but directly declares that the Russian Federation itself is asking for weapons to hold positions on the Ukrainian front. Armenians are taking revenge on Putin as best they can, for example, they have launched a procedure for recognizing the powers of the ICC in their country, i. they want to make the Russian dictator persona non grata.
And all because of the implementation on the territory of Karabakh of the scenario of the withdrawal of Russian troops and the restoration of Azerbaijani territorial integrity. A precedent is being created for the rollback of the weak Russian imperial machine, which will soon be repeated in Ukraine with the Crimea and Donbass, as well as in Moldova and Georgia with the return of their problem regions.
Lukashenka, the Belarusian king, also dreams of jumping off Putin’s sinking imperial ship. The old fox sees better than others all the realities of the deplorable status of Putinism and its projects, and, accordingly, is preparing to go over to the side of the Western camp. Firstly, the agreements between Minsk and the Wagnerites have actually been nullified, therefore, at any moment, foreign mercenaries can be thrown out of Belarus. Secondly, Lukashenka is conducting secret negotiations with the EU on the subject of normalizing relations, but so far the conditions that have been set for him are holding him back from radical steps. Although father is under enormous pressure from his own military, giving apocalyptic scenarios in the event of Moscow’s attempts to organize anti-NATO provocations from the Belarusian balcony.
In hysterics, Putin’s strategists are trying to find phantasmagoric models of saving Russia as a small partner of China, offering options for territorial concessions to Beijing in exchange for political and military protection. There is a moment unique in history when the top of a crumbling empire seeks to earn a living by selling off chunks of imperial territory in the hope of finding an outside foothold. What can I say: Russia has never fallen so low, but there are no more red lines in this.
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