National Center for Strategic Studies of Ukraine continues the annual project on monitoring military activity in the world. On January 23, 2024, at 1:00 p.m., the Ukrainian Crisis Media Center (Ukrainian House) will host a presentation of the “War Index” project for 2023, prepared by the National Center for Strategic Studies of Ukraine.
The war index is a project for the annual monitoring of military conflicts for 2023, based on the principle of ranking military-political conflicts and diplomatic clashes from the most heated and large-scale to the least visible, but potentially dangerous. The method of determining the war index is a consideration of the conflicts in the world that are actively manifested during the period of the study through a number of indicators that outline the essence, course of the conflict, its importance for regional and global security, their classification by the level of tension: from the most heated to the minimum level of confrontations.
In 2023, the main event on a global scale continues to be the Russian-Ukrainian war, which in terms of the intensity of technical means has become one of the largest since the Korean War, as well as the largest conflict in Europe since 1945.
The Palestinian-Israeli war, which began with a Hamas terrorist attack on Israel and then escalated into Israel’s military operation in the Gaza Strip, has serious consequences for the world and the Middle East region, threatening to become a global conflict between Israel and the Arab world.
Tensions are rising in the Pacific region. Traditionally, the situation around Taiwan is difficult on the eve of elections on the island. The demonstration of a military threat and statements about the readiness of the DPRK for war are of particular concern.
On the territory of less developed states, long-term conflicts continue, although a significant part of them is decreasing in intensity within the framework of the negotiation process (for example, in Ethiopia).
Yemeni Houthi attacks on civilian vessels in the Red Sea threaten the security of global supply chains. Until that time, the Red Sea accounted for 15% of world trade.
The situation in West Africa remains traditionally tense, where Russia increases instability and supports military coups.
Force continues to be the main argument for resolving international disputes (Azerbaijan’s resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh problem).
A characteristic feature was the restoration of conventional means of warfare, with a frontal clash of numerous armies. On the other hand, the importance of the technical level became obvious, primarily in the area of accuracy and speed of data transfer.
The Russian-Ukrainian war is part of the global conflict, the “quiet third world war”, which has been unfolding since 2011 in many theatres of war. This is an undeclared war, involving all the components of the “fourth generation war”, which breaks out again and again through open military conflicts.
Project partners:
Department of Regional Studies, Institute of International Relations, Kyiv National University named after T. G. Shevchenko
Analytical Center for Balkan Studies Analytical Center for Balkan Studies ex-Yu
Global Ukraine Global Ukraine Foundation
Speakers:
Yuriy Syrotyuk Yuriy Syrotyuk , director of the Non-State Analytical Center
“Ukrainian Strategic Research Studies (USRS)”, People’s Deputy of Ukraine of the 7th convocation, junior sergeant grenade launcher of the 5th separate assault brigade
Yuriy Oliynyk, candidate of political sciences, head of research programs of the non-governmental analytical center “Ukrainian Studies of Strategic Studies”
Marta Oliynyk-D’omochko Marta Oliynyk-D’omochko , Candidate of Political Sciences, Africanist researcher, Global Ukraine Foundation (online),
Bohdan Cherkas Bohdan Cherkas , candidate of political sciences, assistant of the department of regional studies of the Institute of International Relations of T.G. Shevchenko Kyiv National University (online),
Andrii Rudyk Andrii Rudyk , political analyst, PhD in the field of social and behavioral sciences, communications officer at the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,
Kateryna Shymkevych Kateryna Shymkevych , candidate of historical sciences, expert of the Analytical Center for Balkan Studies (online),
Oleksandr Chupak Oleksandr Chupak , head of economic programs of the non-governmental analytical center “Ukrainian Studios of Strategic Studies”,
Anatoly Maksymov Anatoliy Maksymov , international analyst, specialist in East Asia and the Persian Gulf,
Anatolij Demešchuk Anatolij Demešchuk , candidate of historical sciences, expert of the Analytical Center for Balkan Studies (online),
Andriy Kryshtal Andriy Kryshtal , sociologist, peacebuilding expert, expert of the Analytical Center for Balkan Studies (online)
The target audience of the speech:
Political journalists, social journalists, military and international experts.
The presentation will be broadcast on the Facebook page of the Ukrainian Studies of Strategic Studies ( https://www.facebook.com/nac.ussd ) and the Facebook page of the Ukrainian Crisis Media Center ( https://www.facebook.com/UCMCF/ ) and their YouTube channel ( https://www.youtube.com/user/UACrisisMediaCenter ).
